This month was the 3rd month of the futures trading experiment. The first month was the model development phase, while last month was about ironing out the glitches and training myself to operate the model properly (and not give in to gut instinct etc). It turned out that month was more of the same and I am still on the next stage of the test, which is learning to consistently trade the model and iron out the glitches. The third stage is to reach a level of profits add up to my salary, as the fourth stage would be to maximize returns beyond that.
I decided to go to trading two agreements this month, but mainly exchanged one contract still. June is the month when our Australian managed funds pay out their main distributions by the end of the Australian financial year. These have large taxes credits associated with them usually. With this report, I’ve estimated the likely tax credits, which won’t be known till later in July. The Australian Dollar fell from USD 0.7571 to USD 0.7391. The MSCI World Index dropped 0.50% and the S&P 500 increased 0.62%. The ASX 200 increased 3.63%. All these are total earnings including dividends.
We gained 3.16% in Australian Dollar conditions and 0.71% in US Dollar terms. So, we underperformed the Australian market and outperformed international markets. The first two rows provides annual rate of come back and Sharpe proportion for our investment performance in US dollars and Australian dollars. The other figures are compared to the two indices. Beta expresses the change in investment comes back for a 1% change on the market.
Compared to the MSCI World Index we appear to be slightly geared, while set alongside the Australian index we are less delicate to market motions. Alpha shows the chance adjusted surplus annual return. This is one way much we are defeating the market (or not) adjusted for risk expressed as beta.
We have a somewhat positive alpha compared to the Australian and world marketplaces. Finally, up capture and down catch breaks beta into the response to negative and positive a few months in the stockmarket. A larger up capture than down capture ratio is desirable. We now capture more of the up actions in the international and less in the Australian market and suffer less of the down actions in both Australian and international marketplaces. A hedge account like come back would show this positive skew and a positive alpha.
- Taking on the “problem” property
- Investment procedures certificate (IOC)
- 1979: (49 years old)
- 1914 – JP Morgan and Co. Profits from Financing both edges of War and Purchasing Weapons
- They own stock or other interest in a closely held company,
- Deregulation of the business markets
We show some hedge fund like properties across the markets. The US marketplaces proceeded to go up and then down, ending quite flat. Through some missteps I performed worse than the models considering that I was using leverage. That is mainly because I picked the wrong agreement to operate with for some of the right time.
Seeing that happen do increase my beliefs in the model a little bit more. Gut instinct is not as good as the model. But the same thing then, kind of, day of the month occurred on the last. The models were short, the market went up, but I capitulated at the worst point almost, because at the marketplace close the indices were way down from the highs. The best I could say is which i didn’t lose cash for the month all together. So it looks like more of the same for the following month.